20071030

@~@

萬一出乎市场预料 聯儲决定维持利率不变 ? 只減貼現率 0.25%
歷史經驗 新地配股 港股下跌 ?

My Third Prophecy ~ 失敗了


唔會既牛市 ???

拭目以待 Revisit


Totally "PUT" until Nov 01 Market Opening.

20071029

拭目以待

美國聯儲局將於本周二及三議息(Oct30~31)
決議結果?
不減息 只減貼現率 0.25%

利率期貨市場已差不多全面反映減息25點子 but...

I anticipate Ben S. Bernanke will only “lower the discount rate for 0.25%” due to the “STABILITY” of the US stock market since September 18, 2007.

奇跡未降 港股新高 定輸贏前 頑固淡友 血肉長城 (3)

飆3.89%
The entire stock market is at serious risk.

20071025

My Third Prophecy

My Third Prophecy....................
五十天移動平均線 =25,354點
(29,854點/25,354點)=17.75%
過去經驗, 調整無可避免 if above 15% (29,157) for "SIX" days.

日期 收市價*
10-30 or before 恒生指數 將重返五十天移動平均線=25,354點 x}
失敗了!
10-05 28,942.32 (Finally; NO) ~ updated 11-05-2007 @16:33
Conclusion:
過去經驗, 調整無可避免 if above 15% (29,157) for "9" days !
11-02 30,468.34 (YES) ~ updated 11-05-2007 @16:33
11-01 31,492.88 (YES) ~ updated 11-01-2007 @16:33
10-31 31,352.58 (YES) ~ updated 11-05-2007 @16:33
10-30 31,638.22 (YES) ~ updated 10-30-2007 @16:33
10-29 31,586.90 (YES) ~ updated 10-30-2007 @15:36
10-26 30,450.22 (YES) ~ updated 10-26-2007 @16:03
10-25 29,854.49 (YES)
10-24 29,333.53 (YES)
10-23 29,376.86 (YES)
10-22 28,373.63 (NO)
10-18 29,465.05 (YES)
10-17 29,298.71 (YES)
10-16 28,954.55 (NO)
10-15 29,540.78 (YES)

20071023

c'est la vie ~ 2

Planned To Liquidate All "CALL" Tomorrow Whilst Market Opening.
Wait For The Possibly Big Fall.

:|


Over 28900 Again ~ Buy


20071022

Adjustment Day

I Treat It As An Adjustment Day.