20070919

My 2nd Prophecy

The Hong Kong Stock Market Rally will be ended 07 Nov 2007.

超級高風險延續系列 2.09192007

港股創歷史新高
成交金額 1,387.35億
恆生指數收市 24,576.85 升3.979% ~ 最高 25,648.44
國企指數收市 15,255.49 升3.542% ~ 最高 15,345.85



超級高風險延續系列 1.09192007

If HSI up 4.5% today, will buy "PUT" again to secure profit.
Thus to say 25,682.81, hopefully not reach today.

33 mins CALL



33 mins call for recovering most of the lost for 6969.


上看28200點


何時再戰明天

條件
1. USD/Yen above 118.00
Trading @115.88

2. 美國聯儲局議息會議 減息
Consitions satisfied. 驚訝減幅50點子!

3. 港股直通車在40個城市內地銀行分行開通
Processing............

效果
1. 年底 港股指數目標 ~ 23500 +20% ~ 28200點 ~ 16倍市盈率
2. 年底 H股指數目標 ~ 14000 +25% ~ 17500點 ~ 27倍市盈率
3. 平均成交額增加至2000億元
UPDATE: OCT 02, 2007 。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。
HSI CLOSING@ 28,199.750

Prophecy (X2)

My Prophecy Yesterday:
Expected cut its federal funds rate to 5% from 5.25% and, cut its discount rate from 5.75% to 5.50% or lower.

Bernanke's Choice Last Night:
Cut its federal funds rate to 4.75% from 5.25% and, cut its discount rate from 5.75% to 5.25%.

Conculsions:
The "PUT" should hold until a good timing appears OR even though double "CALL" today, it depends.